WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
US Virgin Islands vs Barbados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+104%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
BRB
0 - 1
VIR
79%
15%
7%
|
8 | 49 | 41 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
VIR
1 - 2
5%
13%
82%
|
8 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
MSR
1 - 0
VIR
40%
23%
37%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CUW
6 - 1
VIR
76%
15%
9%
|
9 | 40 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 3
CUW
18%
20%
62%
|
10 | 39 | 29 | -1 |
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2015 |
BRB
0 - 1
VIR
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 8 | 41 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BRB
2 - 2
VCT
46%
25%
30%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
BRB
3 - 1
VCT
41%
25%
33%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2015 |
BRB
2 - 2
GUY
37%
26%
36%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BRB
0 - 2
GUF
54%
24%
23%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |