US Virgin Islands vs Bahamas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
7.6%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.1%
73.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
3.6%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
2.2%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0.1%
-3
15.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
3.7%
2-6
1.1%
3-7
0.2%
4-8
0%
-4
10.1%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.5%
3-8
0.1%
-5
5.5%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+115%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
VGB
0 - 0
VIR
64%
18%
18%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 1
VGB
24%
19%
57%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 4
ABW
13%
16%
71%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CYM
2 - 1
VIR
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABW
3 - 1
VIR
78%
13%
9%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Bahamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
KNA
1 - 0
BHS
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
BHS
1 - 7
TTO
5%
11%
84%
|
31 | 67 | 36 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2023 |
PRI
6 - 1
BHS
65%
18%
17%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
ATG
2 - 2
BHS
59%
21%
20%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BHS
1 - 4
ATG
16%
17%
67%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |