WC Qual. CONCACAF Fase 1 Parte 1 Final
Global 0-10
British Virgin Islands vs Saint Lucia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
33.7%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
British Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
VGB
1 - 2
DMA
19%
21%
60%
|
26 | 51 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2004 |
VGB
5 - 0
VIR
81%
12%
7%
|
26 | 5 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2004 |
VGB
0 - 1
DMA
20%
21%
59%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2002 |
LCA
8 - 1
VGB
77%
15%
8%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2002 |
VGB
1 - 3
LCA
15%
21%
64%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -2 |
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
LCA
1 - 2
VCT
36%
23%
41%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
GLP
2 - 0
LCA
58%
21%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
LCA
4 - 5
MTQ
11%
20%
69%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2003 |
LCA
2 - 1
HTI
3%
13%
83%
|
44 | 74 | 30 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
JAM
5 - 0
LCA
85%
12%
4%
|
45 | 78 | 33 | -1 |