WC Qual. CONCACAF Primera Ronda Final
Global 1-1
British Virgin Islands vs US Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18%
18%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+787%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
British Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 1
VGB
24%
19%
57%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
VGB
1 - 2
DMA
15%
18%
68%
|
13 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
TCA
2 - 2
VGB
67%
17%
17%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
DMA
1 - 1
VGB
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 38 | 26 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VGB
3 - 1
TCA
10%
12%
78%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
VIR
1 - 1
VGB
24%
19%
57%
|
8 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2023 |
VIR
1 - 4
ABW
13%
16%
71%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CYM
2 - 1
VIR
77%
14%
9%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ABW
3 - 1
VIR
78%
13%
9%
|
8 | 34 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
VIR
2 - 2
CYM
11%
14%
75%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | +1 |