WC Qual. CONCACAF 1ra Ronda Final
Global 3-3
British Virgin Islands vs Bahamas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
British Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BHS
1 - 1
VGB
69%
18%
14%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2008 |
VGB
1 - 1
VIR
81%
12%
6%
|
24 | 6 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
VGB
0 - 0
VIR
82%
12%
6%
|
24 | 5 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2004 |
TTO
2 - 0
VGB
93%
6%
1%
|
24 | 77 | 53 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
VGB
0 - 4
TTO
2%
11%
88%
|
24 | 77 | 53 | 0 |
Matches
Bahamas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
BHS
1 - 1
VGB
69%
18%
14%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2006 |
BHS
2 - 3
VCT
11%
17%
72%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2006 |
BHS
0 - 4
BMU
14%
20%
66%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | -2 |
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
BRB
2 - 1
BHS
80%
14%
7%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2006 |
TCA
2 - 3
BHS
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |