Solomon Islands vs Vanuatu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
24.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
PNG
1 - 3
SOL
26%
22%
52%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
SGP
1 - 1
SOL
48%
22%
30%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2023 |
MAS
4 - 1
SOL
55%
22%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
FIJ
0 - 2
SOL
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
VAN
36%
23%
41%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Vanuatu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NCL
4 - 0
VAN
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2023 |
VAN
1 - 0
MNG
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
VAN
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
LBN
3 - 1
VAN
71%
19%
10%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 0
VAN
36%
23%
41%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |