Solomon Islands vs Papua New Guinea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
42.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2017 |
FIJ
1 - 0
SOL
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2017 |
FIJ
1 - 1
SOL
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
SOL
1 - 0
TAH
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +2 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
TAH
3 - 0
SOL
61%
22%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SOL
0 - 1
NCL
22%
23%
55%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Papua New Guinea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
TAH
1 - 2
PNG
56%
23%
21%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
PNG
1 - 3
TAH
39%
25%
36%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2016 |
MAS
2 - 1
PNG
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2016 |
IRN
8 - 1
PNG
95%
5%
1%
|
44 | 87 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2016 |
PNG
2 - 0
MAS
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +3 |