Solomon Islands vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
37.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
NZL
6 - 1
SOL
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SOL
2 - 0
TAH
29%
24%
47%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
3 - 4
NZL
5%
13%
81%
|
45 | 70 | 25 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
SOL
0 - 1
TAH
37%
25%
39%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
1 - 1
SOL
85%
11%
4%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2012 |
TAH
0 - 4
NCL
47%
24%
29%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 2
NZL
7%
15%
78%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
0 - 1
TAH
43%
24%
33%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
NZL
0 - 2
NCL
84%
12%
4%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2012 |
NCL
9 - 0
SAM
84%
12%
5%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | +1 |