Solomon Islands vs New Caledonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Solomon Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
SAM
0 - 3
SOL
15%
21%
65%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
VAN
0 - 2
SOL
33%
25%
42%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
4 - 0
TON
90%
8%
2%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
SOL
12 - 1
ASA
95%
5%
1%
|
46 | 5 | 41 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2005 |
SOL
1 - 2
AUS
3%
14%
83%
|
47 | 89 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
New Caledonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 1
FIJ
14%
21%
65%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
3 - 0
COK
79%
14%
7%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
TUV
0 - 1
NCL
34%
24%
42%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2007 |
NCL
1 - 0
TAH
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +2 |
| 19 May. 2004 |
NCL
8 - 0
TON
84%
12%
5%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |