Northern Mariana Islands vs Macao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.3%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
84.6%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.4%
0-2
16%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
14.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.9%
0-4
9.5%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.9%
0-5
5.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+376%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Mariana Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
TWN
8 - 1
MNP
88%
10%
2%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
GUM
5 - 0
MNP
89%
9%
2%
|
8 | 25 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 2
MNP
94%
5%
1%
|
6 | 24 | 18 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2014 |
MNG
4 - 0
MNP
93%
6%
1%
|
6 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2012 |
MNP
1 - 5
MAC
1%
7%
92%
|
6 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Macao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
1 - 3
MAC
8%
14%
78%
|
25 | 7 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
MNG
30%
23%
47%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MAS
0 - 0
MAC
76%
16%
8%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HKG
2 - 0
MAC
84%
11%
5%
|
24 | 53 | 29 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
TWN
5 - 1
MAC
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |