Faroe Islands U21 vs Italy U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.1%
66.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Faroe Islands U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 5
ALB
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 2
CRO
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
FRO
1 - 0
AZE
57%
22%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
FRO
0 - 2
GRC
17%
22%
61%
|
44 | 68 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRO
80%
15%
5%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Italy U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
ITA
5 - 0
AZE
82%
14%
4%
|
82 | 37 | 45 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
GRC
2 - 2
ITA
31%
27%
42%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 0
CRO
77%
15%
8%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2007 |
ALB
0 - 1
ITA
14%
23%
63%
|
81 | 51 | 30 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
ITA
2 - 1
FRO
80%
15%
5%
|
81 | 44 | 37 | 0 |