Iceland U19 vs Northern Ireland U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 0
ISL
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
FRA
2 - 2
ISL
83%
12%
5%
|
48 | 74 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2012 |
ISL
0 - 2
GEO
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CRO
2 - 2
ISL
72%
17%
11%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2012 |
AZE
1 - 2
ISL
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
NIR
1 - 1
FRA
9%
16%
75%
|
45 | 74 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
BEL
2 - 0
NIR
66%
20%
15%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
MDA
1 - 8
NIR
39%
25%
36%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
NIR
0 - 2
GRC
21%
22%
56%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
CZE
1 - 1
NIR
71%
18%
12%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | +1 |