Iceland U21 vs Denmark U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
57.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iceland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2008 |
ISL
1 - 4
NOR
19%
22%
59%
|
54 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
CYP
2 - 0
ISL
37%
25%
38%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
BEL
1 - 2
ISL
71%
17%
12%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | +2 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
GER
3 - 0
ISL
78%
15%
7%
|
54 | 76 | 22 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2007 |
ISL
1 - 1
AUT
43%
25%
32%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2008 |
GER
4 - 0
DEN
58%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
DEN
0 - 1
SWE
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
NED
2 - 1
DEN
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2007 |
DEN
1 - 0
SVN
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2007 |
LTU
0 - 3
DEN
15%
21%
65%
|
72 | 48 | 24 | 0 |