Island FC vs Polokwane City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
69.7%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Island FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 3
SUN
9%
19%
72%
|
7 | 72 | 65 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
MAR
2 - 0
IFC
82%
12%
5%
|
7 | 55 | 48 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
6 - 0
IFC
71%
19%
10%
|
7 | 68 | 61 | 0 |
Matches
Polokwane City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
SAN
4 - 1
POL
57%
25%
18%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
MIL
0 - 1
POL
61%
23%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2013 |
POL
2 - 0
FCA
78%
16%
7%
|
51 | 7 | 44 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
POL
1 - 1
AKJ
38%
27%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
POL
2 - 0
BAY
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |