Island Bay United vs Stop Out analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
8.9%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
69.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.7%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
8.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
4.1%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
10º
8º
5
6º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
IBU
85%
10%
5%
|
8 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
WEL
2 - 1
IBU
89%
7%
4%
|
8 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 6
WEL
9%
14%
78%
|
9 | 49 | 40 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
IBU
2 - 3
NWA
59%
19%
23%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Stop Out
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
STO
1 - 1
WEL
15%
16%
69%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
STO
76%
14%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WKA
4 - 1
STO
71%
16%
14%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
STO
1 - 6
WEL
11%
15%
74%
|
17 | 49 | 32 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NAP
3 - 0
STO
74%
14%
12%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |