Island Bay United vs Petone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
64.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.8%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
12
8º
10º
8º
21
5º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 40 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
12 | 12 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 5 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Island Bay United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
MIR
5 - 0
IBU
92%
6%
3%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2024 |
WSU
5 - 1
IBU
86%
9%
5%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 2
PET
23%
19%
58%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 3
WEL
10%
13%
77%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
IBU
4 - 3
STO
14%
16%
70%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Petone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
PET
2 - 2
WEL
14%
17%
69%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
PET
3 - 3
STO
50%
20%
29%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
STO
1 - 3
PET
51%
20%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
IBU
1 - 2
PET
23%
19%
58%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
WKA
2 - 1
PET
77%
13%
10%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |