Ireland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
60.6%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
9%
1-3
7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
IDI
2 - 3
WAL
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1909 |
SCO
5 - 0
IDI
75%
15%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
ENG
4 - 0
IDI
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
WAL
0 - 1
IDI
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1908 |
IDI
0 - 5
SCO
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 1909 |
AUT
1 - 8
ENG
37%
22%
41%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1909 |
HUN
2 - 8
ENG
37%
23%
41%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1909 |
HUN
2 - 4
ENG
40%
22%
38%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1909 |
ENG
2 - 0
SCO
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1909 |
ENG
2 - 0
WAL
87%
8%
4%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |