Ireland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
37.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1906 |
WAL
4 - 4
IDI
49%
23%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 1
SCO
51%
22%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 5
ENG
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1905 |
IDI
2 - 2
WAL
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1905 |
SCO
4 - 0
IDI
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1906 |
SCO
2 - 1
ENG
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1906 |
WAL
0 - 1
ENG
30%
24%
46%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 5
ENG
43%
23%
34%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1905 |
ENG
1 - 0
SCO
68%
17%
15%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1905 |
ENG
3 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | +1 |