Ireland vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
40%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 1903 |
IDI
2 - 0
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1903 |
SCO
0 - 2
IDI
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 1903 |
ENG
4 - 0
IDI
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1902 |
IDI
0 - 1
ENG
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1902 |
IDI
1 - 5
SCO
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 1904 |
WAL
2 - 2
ENG
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1903 |
ENG
1 - 2
SCO
57%
22%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1903 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1903 |
ENG
4 - 0
IDI
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 1902 |
ENG
2 - 2
SCO
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |