Ireland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.4%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1910 |
IDI
1 - 1
ENG
19%
20%
61%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1909 |
IDI
2 - 3
WAL
68%
17%
15%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1909 |
SCO
5 - 0
IDI
75%
15%
11%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1909 |
ENG
4 - 0
IDI
84%
10%
6%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 1908 |
WAL
0 - 1
IDI
54%
21%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 1914 |
WAL
0 - 2
ENG
22%
22%
56%
|
61 | 83 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1914 |
SCO
0 - 0
WAL
75%
15%
10%
|
61 | 76 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1914 |
WAL
1 - 2
INE
77%
14%
9%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1913 |
ENG
4 - 3
WAL
10%
19%
71%
|
62 | 26 | 36 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1913 |
WAL
0 - 0
SCO
33%
24%
43%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |