Ireland vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
16.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1903 |
SCO
0 - 2
IDI
62%
21%
17%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1903 |
ENG
4 - 0
IDI
62%
21%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1902 |
IDI
0 - 1
ENG
36%
25%
39%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1902 |
IDI
1 - 5
SCO
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 1902 |
WAL
0 - 3
IDI
34%
25%
40%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1903 |
WAL
0 - 1
SCO
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1903 |
ENG
2 - 1
WAL
68%
19%
13%
|
61 | 77 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1902 |
SCO
5 - 1
WAL
65%
20%
15%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 1902 |
WAL
0 - 0
ENG
27%
25%
48%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1902 |
WAL
0 - 3
IDI
34%
25%
40%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | -1 |