Ireland vs Scotland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1908 |
IDI
1 - 3
ENG
39%
24%
37%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1906 |
WAL
4 - 4
IDI
49%
23%
29%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 1
SCO
51%
22%
28%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 1906 |
IDI
0 - 5
ENG
43%
23%
34%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1905 |
IDI
2 - 2
WAL
75%
14%
11%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1908 |
SCO
2 - 1
WAL
76%
14%
10%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
ENG
1 - 1
SCO
6%
17%
77%
|
74 | 23 | 51 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1907 |
SCO
3 - 0
INE
87%
9%
4%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1907 |
WAL
1 - 0
SCO
38%
24%
39%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 1906 |
SCO
2 - 1
ENG
49%
23%
28%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |