Isla Cristina vs Castilleja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isla Cristina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
ROC
3 - 1
ICR
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ICR
4 - 2
MOG
51%
23%
27%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
MOG
1 - 0
ICR
33%
24%
43%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ICR
1 - 1
BEA
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ICR
4 - 0
PUM
81%
13%
6%
|
18 | 10 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Castilleja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAC
38%
26%
37%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LEB
2 - 0
CAS
38%
26%
37%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
REC
2 - 0
CAS
50%
24%
26%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
1 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ALG
0 - 1
CAS
27%
25%
49%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |