Isla Cristina vs Atlético Cruceño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
9.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+35%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isla Cristina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 1
ICR
42%
23%
35%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
ICR
3 - 2
CDF
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 1
ICR
45%
23%
33%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
ICR
1 - 1
JUA
76%
15%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
SRL
2 - 2
ICR
31%
24%
45%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Cruceño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 4
HCA
40%
22%
39%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
3 - 3
CRU
67%
18%
15%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
CRU
2 - 2
ROC
17%
20%
63%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 1
CRU
65%
19%
16%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CDF
3 - 2
CRU
44%
23%
33%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |