Q. Europa League Segunda Ronda Final
Global 0-4
Iskra Rîbniţa vs Cherno More Varna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.6%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.6%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Iskra Rîbniţa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 0
ISK
56%
26%
19%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
MIL
0 - 3
ISK
37%
30%
33%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
ISK
1 - 0
TIR
47%
30%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
TIT
1 - 2
ISK
28%
30%
41%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
ISK
2 - 0
NIS
42%
31%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cherno More Varna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 0
ISK
56%
26%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
FKM
2 - 2
CVA
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
CVA
2 - 0
SSO
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SVA
0 - 1
CVA
28%
29%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
CVA
1 - 0
CSK
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |