Isidro Metapán vs Alianza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
52.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
9º
7º
37
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
46 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
31 | 32 |
3º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 30 |
4º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 30 |
5º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
28.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
26 | 27 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 25 |
9º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 24 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 23 |
11º
|
57% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 22 |
12º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
87% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
13% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isidro Metapán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
CDD
1 - 2
MET
42%
28%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
2 - 0
MET
37%
27%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 2
ONC
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
JOC
1 - 1
MET
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
MET
2 - 1
CDP
37%
29%
35%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alianza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 1
FIR
62%
22%
16%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 1
CHA
68%
19%
13%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
21%
26%
53%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
AGU
45%
28%
28%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ATL
1 - 0
ALI
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | -1 |