Isernia vs Vigor Senigallia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.1%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
69%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
5%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
14%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-23%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
4
11º
17º
17º
7
2º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
6º
|
6 | 67 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
1º
|
7 | 59 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 58 |
3º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
5 | 57 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
|
3º
|
7 | 56 |
6º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
4 | 51 |
7º
|
6.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 51 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
2º
|
7 | 50 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 45 |
10º
|
7% | |
|
10º
|
4 | 45 |
11º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 45 |
12º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 44 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
17º
|
0 | 37 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 36 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
18º
|
0 | 34 |
16º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
4 | 32 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
15º
|
1 | 22 |
18º
|
52% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 42% |
|
Mid-table
|
22% | 42% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 4% |
|
Relegation
|
53.5% | 1.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ISE
1 - 0
CAS
35%
23%
41%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ANC
2 - 0
ISE
76%
15%
9%
|
20 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MAT
1 - 1
ISE
88%
9%
3%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -2 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ISE
0 - 1
FRA
21%
25%
54%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
SAM
1 - 0
ISE
49%
25%
26%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Vigor Senigallia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
VSU
2 - 1
AVE
53%
23%
24%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
CAS
0 - 3
VSU
21%
23%
55%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VSU
3 - 5
SSS
44%
25%
32%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
RIC
2 - 1
VSU
28%
24%
48%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
VSU
0 - 2
VAS
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |