Isernia vs Termoli Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
54.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-29%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
17º
17º
23
5º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 75 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 62 |
2º
|
48% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 61 |
3º
|
30.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 57 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 55 |
5º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 48 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 47 |
7º
|
11.5% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 47 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 46 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 45 |
10º
|
11% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
24 | 39 |
13º
|
12.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
23 | 35 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 35 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
20 | 31 |
17º
|
32.5% | |
|
18º
|
16 | 25 |
18º
|
67% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
10.5% | 24.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 30% |
|
Relegation
|
71.5% | 45.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
CHI
2 - 2
ISE
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
ISE
1 - 4
TER
26%
25%
49%
|
27 | 46 | 19 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
FER
0 - 2
ISE
68%
19%
13%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ISE
0 - 0
VSU
14%
17%
69%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | +2 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ISE
1 - 0
CAS
35%
23%
41%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Termoli Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
TER
1 - 2
AVE
42%
27%
31%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
CAS
5 - 0
TER
24%
26%
50%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
TER
1 - 0
RCF
36%
27%
38%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
BFM
0 - 0
TER
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TER
1 - 1
LAQ
29%
27%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |