Isernia vs Monticelli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
0 - 0
ISE
44%
24%
33%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
ISE
2 - 1
AVE
32%
24%
44%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
FER
3 - 2
ISE
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ISE
1 - 0
SAN
23%
25%
53%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CHI
3 - 1
ISE
63%
21%
16%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Monticelli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
FAN
24%
22%
54%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIS
3 - 1
MON
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
MON
1 - 0
MAT
25%
23%
52%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
MON
0 - 2
CAM
32%
24%
43%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
OLY
3 - 0
MON
57%
21%
22%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |