Isernia vs Fermana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+53%
-28%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
7º
17º
17º
21
7º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 77 |
1º
|
95% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 64 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 59 |
3º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 58 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 57 |
5º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 49 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
7º
|
17% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 45 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 42 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 40 |
13º
|
9% | |
|
|
15º
|
21 | 38 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 34 |
15º
|
14% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 32 |
16º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
20 | 32 |
17º
|
23% | |
|
18º
|
15 | 27 |
18º
|
68% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
13% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
28% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation
|
58.5% | 13.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Isernia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
VSU
2 - 2
ISE
66%
19%
15%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
3 - 0
ISE
61%
21%
18%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ISE
0 - 2
ANC
20%
23%
57%
|
32 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
ISE
0 - 2
BFM
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 0
ISE
53%
24%
23%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Fermana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
FER
2 - 0
ASD
43%
26%
31%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ANC
0 - 1
FER
67%
21%
12%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
FER
0 - 1
REC
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
FER
1 - 1
CAS
48%
26%
25%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
SSS
3 - 0
FER
59%
24%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -1 |