Ischia vs Cosenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
30.1%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TUT
1 - 0
ISC
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 0
MAR
65%
22%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
ISC
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 0
APR
66%
21%
14%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
VIG
1 - 1
ISC
23%
27%
51%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cosenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 0
GAV
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 1
NUO
22%
24%
54%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 0
USP
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
NUO
0 - 0
MES
57%
23%
20%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
USF
1 - 0
NUO
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |