Ischia vs Matera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.5%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.5%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
44.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
JUS
5 - 5
ISC
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MON
2 - 0
ISC
34%
26%
41%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
ISC
0 - 0
BEN
17%
25%
58%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
PAG
2 - 2
ISC
25%
26%
48%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 1
USF
18%
24%
58%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Matera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
MAT
2 - 1
PAG
68%
21%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
ASM
2 - 2
MAT
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
LEC
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
MAT
21%
26%
54%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 0
JUS
38%
27%
35%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |