Ischia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
9%
23%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
23%
65.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
18%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.7%
0-2
15.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ASM
3 - 0
ISC
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AKR
2 - 0
ISC
65%
19%
16%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
ISC
2 - 0
CAT
10%
22%
68%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +2 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 3
ISC
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 0
MES
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 1
USF
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
LEC
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
LEC
3 - 0
MAR
78%
16%
6%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
LEC
27%
26%
47%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
LEC
2 - 0
JUS
61%
23%
16%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |