Ischia vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
5.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.1%
0
18.6%
74.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
18.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
18%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
23.3%
0-3
11.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
14.2%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 0
ISC
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ISC
2 - 2
MES
42%
28%
30%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NUO
3 - 1
ISC
54%
24%
22%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ISC
2 - 0
REG
12%
21%
67%
|
35 | 54 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
LRO
1 - 0
ISC
61%
22%
18%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LEC
0 - 1
MAR
86%
11%
3%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2014 |
USF
2 - 0
LEC
11%
21%
68%
|
69 | 45 | 24 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
4 - 1
ASM
85%
12%
3%
|
69 | 41 | 28 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
BEN
1 - 2
LEC
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
LEC
2 - 2
FCC
67%
21%
12%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |