Ischia vs Catania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.9%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.2%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
0
22.2%
68%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
18.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28%
0-2
16.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
21.4%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
-3
11.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 3
ISC
31%
25%
44%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
ISC
0 - 0
MES
40%
28%
32%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
LCR
2 - 2
ISC
37%
25%
39%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
ISC
1 - 2
NUO
23%
27%
51%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FCC
3 - 0
ISC
55%
24%
21%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Catania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAT
2 - 1
MAT
72%
18%
10%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NUO
1 - 1
CAT
17%
26%
56%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
CAT
0 - 0
MON
84%
12%
4%
|
67 | 43 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
FIA
0 - 0
CAT
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CAT
3 - 0
PAG
85%
11%
4%
|
67 | 40 | 27 | 0 |