Ischia vs Castel Rigone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2013 |
ISC
0 - 0
FRO
16%
23%
61%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
APR
1 - 2
ISC
20%
24%
56%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ISC
1 - 1
VIG
70%
19%
11%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2013 |
USF
2 - 2
ISC
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ISC
0 - 0
SOR
27%
25%
48%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Castel Rigone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
ASM
58%
23%
19%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2013 |
ARZ
2 - 3
CAS
22%
24%
54%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
2 - 1
TUT
49%
24%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 0
CAS
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
CAS
1 - 2
NUO
25%
24%
51%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |