Ischia vs Casertana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.6%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
46.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 0
ISC
72%
18%
10%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ISC
1 - 0
ASM
36%
29%
36%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
ISC
41%
25%
34%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
ISC
0 - 1
AKR
30%
26%
45%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAT
4 - 2
ISC
83%
13%
5%
|
45 | 71 | 26 | -1 |
Matches
Casertana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2015 |
CAS
2 - 0
CAT
16%
25%
59%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NUO
2 - 1
CAS
38%
29%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2015 |
JUS
1 - 2
CAS
55%
24%
21%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 0
MAT
45%
27%
28%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAS
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | +1 |