Ischia vs Ugento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+2057%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
6º
14º
12º
22
9º
17º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
45 | 69 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 66 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
1º
|
47 | 65 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 64 |
4º
|
30.5% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
31% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 54 |
6º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 52 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 48 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 46 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 46 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
18º
|
10 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
27 | 42 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 41 |
13º
|
26% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
14º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 33 |
15º
|
34.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 31 |
16º
|
39.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 26 |
17º
|
45% | |
|
17º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 15% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
10.5% | 56% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 29% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ISC
1 - 1
ACC
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
ASF
2 - 0
ISC
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ISC
0 - 0
FRA
40%
28%
32%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
MAR
2 - 0
ISC
57%
25%
18%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ISC
2 - 2
BRI
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ugento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SSM
1 - 1
UGE
57%
22%
21%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
UGE
5 - 1
AMA
64%
19%
18%
|
33 | 24 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
NAR
4 - 0
UGE
64%
21%
15%
|
33 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ACC
1 - 2
UGE
57%
20%
23%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
UGE
1 - 2
NOC
23%
25%
53%
|
32 | 53 | 21 | 0 |