Ischia vs Arzanese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ischia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ASM
1 - 0
ISC
27%
27%
45%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
ISC
2 - 0
NUO
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
TUT
1 - 0
ISC
23%
26%
51%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ISC
0 - 0
MAR
65%
22%
13%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 1
ISC
26%
25%
49%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Arzanese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ARZ
3 - 2
USF
31%
25%
45%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
TER
1 - 2
ARZ
61%
22%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
ARZ
1 - 1
ASM
47%
25%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
ARZ
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RAA
1 - 1
ARZ
35%
26%
39%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |