Irvine Meadow XI FC vs Arbroath analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.5%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
58.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irvine Meadow XI FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
SEL
0 - 3
IRV
74%
16%
11%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
BRO
0 - 2
IRV
78%
15%
8%
|
18 | 48 | 30 | +2 |
Matches
Arbroath
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2009 |
PET
1 - 2
ARB
64%
21%
15%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
BRE
0 - 0
ARB
67%
20%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 3
STE
45%
26%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
DUM
1 - 0
ARB
53%
25%
23%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
ARB
0 - 1
CWB
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |