Cup Kazakhstan Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Irtysh Pavlodar vs Tobol Kostanay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
32.7%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2012 |
IRT
4 - 0
KAI
68%
19%
13%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 4
IRT
24%
23%
53%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
EKI
1 - 4
IRT
19%
22%
59%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2008 |
IRT
2 - 0
VOS
51%
24%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
VOS
4 - 1
IRT
41%
26%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Tobol Kostanay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ZHE
1 - 1
TOB
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
TOB
2 - 2
FCA
44%
25%
31%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
KAI
1 - 2
TOB
27%
28%
46%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
TOB
4 - 0
ZST
70%
19%
11%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
AST
1 - 1
TOB
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |