Irtysh Omsk II vs Tobol Kurgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.6%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
61.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+58%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
11º
11º
31
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
37 | 43 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
31 | 34 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 34 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 17 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 17 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
13 | 16 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Irtysh Omsk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
UFA
3 - 0
IRT
73%
15%
12%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FII
7 - 0
IRT
87%
9%
4%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
IRT
3 - 3
FKT
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FMA
4 - 1
IRT
88%
8%
4%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2023 |
IRT
1 - 2
FCC
17%
19%
64%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Tobol Kurgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
FAS
0 - 3
TOB
12%
16%
73%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
2 - 0
UFA
52%
21%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
FTM
0 - 1
TOB
5%
11%
85%
|
23 | 5 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 0
FII
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
FKT
1 - 0
TOB
32%
22%
46%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |