Northern Ireland U21 vs Ukraine U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
75.7%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.1%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
FRA
1 - 0
NIR
88%
10%
2%
|
41 | 82 | 41 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
NIR
1 - 2
MKD
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ISL
1 - 1
NIR
76%
16%
8%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
NIR
1 - 2
SCO
16%
20%
64%
|
42 | 59 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
NIR
1 - 4
SRB
14%
20%
67%
|
42 | 68 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
SCO
2 - 2
UKR
30%
25%
45%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
FRA
2 - 0
UKR
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 82 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
UKR
0 - 1
ISL
61%
22%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
UKR
1 - 3
DEN
52%
25%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
MKD
1 - 0
UKR
12%
21%
67%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | -1 |