Northern Ireland U21 vs Iceland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
63.1%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
NIR
3 - 5
ESP
6%
14%
80%
|
43 | 85 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
ALB
1 - 1
NIR
57%
24%
20%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
NIR
4 - 2
EST
61%
20%
18%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2017 |
SVK
1 - 0
NIR
86%
11%
3%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
NIR
1 - 0
ALB
24%
22%
54%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Iceland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2018 |
IRL
3 - 1
ISL
37%
26%
37%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
EST
2 - 3
ISL
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
ESP
1 - 0
ISL
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2017 |
ALB
0 - 0
ISL
25%
25%
50%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2017 |
SVK
0 - 2
ISL
68%
20%
13%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | +1 |