Northern Ireland U21 vs England U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.3%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
81.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
15.5%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
13%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
8.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
10.5%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SRB
1 - 2
NIR
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2024 |
CZE
3 - 0
NIR
77%
16%
7%
|
45 | 68 | 23 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ENG
3 - 0
NIR
92%
6%
2%
|
45 | 82 | 37 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
NIR
1 - 2
SRB
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2023 |
AZE
0 - 1
NIR
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
England U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
ENG
2 - 2
IRL
82%
13%
6%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
SWE
1 - 2
ENG
24%
23%
53%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
ENG
7 - 0
LUX
91%
7%
2%
|
82 | 29 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
AZE
1 - 5
ENG
6%
14%
80%
|
82 | 39 | 43 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ENG
3 - 0
NIR
92%
6%
2%
|
82 | 45 | 37 | 0 |