Northern Ireland U21 vs Wales U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
29.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
NIR
2 - 3
GER
14%
19%
68%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
ROU
3 - 0
NIR
68%
20%
13%
|
50 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
NIR
4 - 0
LIE
87%
10%
4%
|
50 | 6 | 44 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2006 |
LIE
1 - 4
NIR
10%
18%
72%
|
50 | 6 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2003 |
GRC
0 - 1
NIR
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Wales U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2006 |
WAL
0 - 0
TUR
18%
22%
61%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
ISR
3 - 2
WAL
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2006 |
WAL
5 - 1
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2006 |
WAL
1 - 0
CYP
48%
23%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2006 |
EST
0 - 2
WAL
23%
22%
55%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |