Northern Ireland U21 vs Scotland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
64.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
NIR
1 - 4
SRB
14%
20%
67%
|
41 | 67 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
NIR
0 - 2
ITA
8%
16%
75%
|
41 | 82 | 41 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2013 |
NIR
1 - 0
CYP
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
ITA
3 - 0
NIR
85%
12%
3%
|
41 | 83 | 42 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
SRB
3 - 1
NIR
86%
11%
4%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Scotland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
HUN
1 - 2
SCO
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
SUI
1 - 1
SCO
66%
20%
15%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
LUX
0 - 3
SCO
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 22 | 35 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
SVK
1 - 1
SCO
51%
24%
24%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
SCO
1 - 6
NED
22%
24%
53%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |