Northern Ireland U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.3%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
70.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
12.1%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.9%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
2 - 1
NIR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
NIR
2 - 6
ISL
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
CZE
2 - 0
NIR
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2009 |
POR
2 - 1
NIR
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 1
UKR
24%
24%
52%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
GER
0 - 0
ISR
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
GER
3 - 0
SVN
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
GER
1 - 2
CZE
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
GER
6 - 0
SMR
82%
13%
6%
|
77 | 23 | 54 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
GER
1 - 0
IRN
84%
11%
4%
|
77 | 21 | 56 | 0 |