Northern Ireland U21 vs Germany U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
64.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2007 |
MDA
0 - 1
NIR
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 1
NIR
53%
23%
24%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2007 |
NIR
0 - 4
WAL
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2006 |
NIR
2 - 3
GER
14%
19%
68%
|
49 | 75 | 26 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2006 |
ROU
3 - 0
NIR
68%
20%
13%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Germany U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2007 |
GER
2 - 2
IRL
75%
17%
8%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2007 |
FRA
4 - 1
GER
52%
25%
24%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
GER
0 - 0
CIV
76%
16%
8%
|
76 | 55 | 21 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2007 |
GER
1 - 2
JPN
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2007 |
GER
4 - 0
SUI
66%
20%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |