Northern Ireland U19 vs Serbia and Montenegro U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.1%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
58.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Ireland U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2005 |
NIR
0 - 1
GRC
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2003 |
NIR
1 - 2
ROU
33%
24%
43%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
SVN
3 - 1
NIR
59%
21%
20%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 0
HUN
24%
23%
53%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2003 |
NIR
0 - 2
ITA
15%
21%
64%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia and Montenegro U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2005 |
SYM
4 - 2
GER
17%
21%
63%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |